SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Norwich City |
49.08% ( -0.19) | 23.88% ( 0.05) | 27.04% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.34% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( -0.11) | 44.32% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( -0.11) | 66.69% ( 0.11) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% ( -0.12) | 18.17% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.85% ( -0.2) | 49.15% ( 0.2) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( 0.05) | 29.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( 0.06) | 66.03% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.08% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.04% |
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