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ML
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
NL

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Norwich

Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Norwich City

Given the quality of some of Boro's players, they may click back into gear at some stage. Nevertheless, that may still not be enough to outclass this Norwich side, who we expect to battle their way to victory at the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
49.08% (-0.192 -0.19) 23.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 27.04% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-0.112 -0.11)44.32% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.109 -0.11)66.69% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.83% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)18.17% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.85% (-0.201 -0.2)49.15% (0.201 0.2)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.047999999999988 0.05)29.93% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.058 0.06)66.03% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.08%
    Norwich City 27.04%
    Draw 23.87%
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Plymouth
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Bristol City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland
Sunday, February 4 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Watford
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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