SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Burnley |
44.89% ( -0.35) | 27.66% ( 0.2) | 27.45% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.91% ( -0.64) | 59.09% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.46% ( -0.5) | 79.54% ( 0.5) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( -0.47) | 26.24% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% ( -0.64) | 61.34% ( 0.64) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.52% ( -0.23) | 37.48% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.74% ( -0.23) | 74.26% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.45% |
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