This has all the makings of being a hard-fought contest, particularly with Swansea having got back on track last weekend. Nevertheless, Millwall may prove tough to beat on home territory, leading us to opt for a narrow triumph for the East Londoners.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.03) 
