MK Dons have the attacking quality to rise to the summit of the League Two table, but recent results suggest that Alexander is yet to find the winning formula at Stadium MK.
Barrow will have taken a lot of confidence from the draw with league leaders Notts County last weekend, and we are expecting the Bluebirds to earn another point on their travels this time around.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.23) 
-0.29) 
