Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Carlisle United
45.64% ( -0)	25.04%	29.31% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52% (

48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.83%

70.17%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

-0)

21.06% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.13% (

-0)

53.87% (

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

30.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.67% (

66.32% (

-0)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 45.64%

Carlisle United 29.31%

Draw 25.04%

MK Dons	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.64%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.62% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.16% Total : 29.31%