Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Tigres had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Tigres win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
