Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
0.26) 
-0.01) 
