SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
40.07% ( -1.66) | 25.76% ( 0.49) | 34.16% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( -1.91) | 49.38% ( 1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% ( -1.74) | 71.42% ( 1.73) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( -1.67) | 24.32% ( 1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% ( -2.42) | 58.7% ( 2.41) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( -0.21) | 27.65% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -0.27) | 63.2% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.16% |
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