Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%).