A win for either side would be huge at this stage of the season with the table in its current state, but the two are likely to cancel each other out in this one.
Monza's pragmatic approach could well frustrate a Fiorentina side without talisman Gonzalez, as the visitors have been involved in close encounters in the majority of their matches this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Monza had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.
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