Both teams will be focusing on their next matches in League Two, but the chance to put another win on the board and build confidence still makes this an important game, and we are backing Morecambe to edge a close fixture on Tuesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
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