Despite Moreirense's commendable home results, we are backing Santa Clara to end that streak and secure a fifth Liga victory to extend their undefeated run in all competitions against the home team to five without losing.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.