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Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Laurent Pokou Stadium
SA

Morocco
0 - 2
South Africa


Amrabat (64')
Amrabat (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Makgopa (57'), Mokoena (90+5')
Modiba (29'), Kekana (36'), Mvala (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Morocco
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Tunisia
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Morocco 3-1 South Africa

South Africa may offer strong resistance, but the gulf in quality between them and their opponents, Morocco, will ultimately prove decisive. The Atlas Lions have seen off the opposition with impressive composure throughout the tournament, and we anticipate another assured showing from them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.43%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
MoroccoDrawSouth Africa
60.19% (0.283 0.28) 25.26% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 14.55% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 36.22% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.89% (0.025999999999996 0.03)63.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.46% (0.02 0.02)82.54% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.125 0.13)21.14% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.194 0.19)53.99% (-0.195 -0.2)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.92% (-0.266 -0.27)54.08% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.68% (-0.164 -0.16)87.32% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 60.18%
    South Africa 14.55%
    Draw 25.25%
MoroccoDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 17.76% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 13.8% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.15% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 60.18%
0-0 @ 11.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Morocco
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 1-1 Congo DR
Sunday, January 21 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Tanzania
Wednesday, January 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 3-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, January 11 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Morocco
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Tunisia
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: South Africa 4-0 Namibia
Sunday, January 21 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 2-0 South Africa
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Lesotho
Wednesday, January 10 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Rwanda 2-0 South Africa
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Benin
Saturday, November 18 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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