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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Dordrecht |
36.08% ( 0.19) | 22.71% ( -0.02) | 41.21% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 66.31% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.13) | 34.52% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.55% ( 0.15) | 56.45% ( -0.15) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( 0.15) | 19.7% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.29% ( 0.24) | 51.71% ( -0.24) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( -0.01) | 17.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.14% ( -0.02) | 47.86% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 36.08% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.03% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 41.21% |
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