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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
41.41% ( 0.05) | 23% ( 0) | 35.59% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 65.08% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.91% ( -0.03) | 36.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.81% ( -0.03) | 58.19% ( 0.02) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( 0) | 17.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.15% ( 0.02) | 48.84% ( -0.02) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( -0.04) | 20.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.78% ( -0.06) | 53.22% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.88% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 35.59% |
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