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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
39.9% ( -0.26) | 25.16% ( -0.07) | 34.94% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.99% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.44% ( 0.39) | 46.56% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( 0.37) | 68.83% ( -0.37) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( 0.04) | 23.15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( 0.06) | 57.03% ( -0.07) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( 0.38) | 25.84% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.2% ( 0.52) | 60.8% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.4% Total : 34.94% |
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