Moreirense have put together a fine run of results in recent weeks, including victories over Porto and Sporting Lisbon, and will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence. While we expect Nacional to put up a fight, we are backing Peixoto's side to come away with all three points.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
-0) 
0.01) 
