Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
