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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 58.57%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 3-1 (7.02%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
58.57% ( 1.41) | 20.09% ( -0.01) | 21.34% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 64.07% ( -2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.52% ( -1.8) | 32.48% ( 1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.88% ( -2.12) | 54.12% ( 2.12) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.99% ( -0.19) | 11.01% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.69% ( -0.43) | 35.31% ( 0.43) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% ( -2.18) | 28% ( 2.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.36% ( -2.86) | 63.64% ( 2.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.6)3-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.59)3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.13% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.42% Total : 21.34% |
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