SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Needham Market | Draw | Brackley Town |
26.19% ( -2.54) | 25.35% ( -1.25) | 48.45% ( 3.78) |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( 1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( 3.39) | 51.24% ( -3.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( 2.89) | 73.07% ( -2.89) |
| Needham Market Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% ( -0.22) | 34.26% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.04% ( -0.23) | 70.96% ( 0.23) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( 3.18) | 21.16% ( -3.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.97% ( 4.71) | 54.02% ( -4.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Needham Market | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -1.16) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.65)3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.19% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.55) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -1.04)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.65)0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.63)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.34)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.4)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.38)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.47% Total : 48.44% |
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