SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
58.82% ( 0.04) | 22.59% ( 0) | 18.58% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52% ( -0.06) | 48% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.83% ( -0.05) | 70.17% ( 0.06) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( -0.01) | 15.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.72% ( -0.02) | 45.28% ( 0.02) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.24% ( -0.08) | 39.76% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.57% ( -0.07) | 76.43% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 58.82% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 18.58% |
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