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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 55.32%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.79%) and 1-3 (6.73%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
24.09% ( -0.15) | 20.59% ( -0) | 55.32% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 66.12% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.56% ( -0.16) | 31.44% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.09% ( -0.19) | 52.91% ( 0.19) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( -0.2) | 25.24% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% ( -0.27) | 59.99% ( 0.28) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( -0.01) | 11.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.51% ( -0.02) | 36.49% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.09% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.63% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.57% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.33% |
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