SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leicester City |
49.78% ( -0.02) | 22.51% ( 0) | 27.71% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.57% ( -0) | 37.43% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.35% ( -0) | 59.65% ( 0) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( -0.01) | 15.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.92% ( -0.02) | 44.07% ( 0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( 0.01) | 25.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( 0.02) | 60.86% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 49.78% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.71% |
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