Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Leicester City |
45.9% ( 0.01) | 24.54% ( -0) | 29.55% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.96% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.34% ( 0.02) | 45.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.02% ( 0.02) | 67.98% ( -0.02) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% ( 0.02) | 19.99% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% ( 0.02) | 52.17% ( -0.02) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.19% ( 0.01) | 28.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.34% ( 0.01) | 64.66% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 45.91% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.55% |
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