Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Leicester City
45.9% ( 0.01)	24.54% ( -0)	29.55% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

0.02)

45.66% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.02% (

0.02)

67.98% (

-0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.01% (

0.02)

19.99% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.83% (

0.02)

52.17% (

-0.02)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.19% (

0.01)

28.81% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.34% (

0.01)

64.66% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 45.91%

Leicester City 29.55%

Draw 24.53%

Newcastle United	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 45.91%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.55%