SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leicester City |
45.9% ( 0.01) | 24.54% ( -0) | 29.55% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( 0.02) | 45.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% ( 0.02) | 67.98% ( -0.02) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( 0.02) | 19.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.83% ( 0.02) | 52.17% ( -0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( 0.01) | 28.81% ( -0.01) |
