Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
