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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Bala Town |
36.33% ( 0.04) | 23.94% ( 0.01) | 39.73% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.61% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( -0.05) | 40.64% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.97% ( -0.05) | 63.03% ( 0.05) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0) | 22.34% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( -0) | 55.82% ( 0) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( -0.05) | 20.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% ( -0.07) | 53.24% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.73% |
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