SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
38.85% ( -0.08) | 26.65% ( 0.01) | 34.49% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.91% ( -0.04) | 53.08% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.33% ( -0.03) | 74.66% ( 0.02) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( -0.06) | 26.67% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.08% ( -0.08) | 61.92% ( 0.07) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( 0.02) | 29.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( 0.03) | 65.21% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.49% |
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