SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 23.98% | 23.57% | 52.45% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.37% ( -0.01) | 45.62% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.05% ( -0) | 67.95% ( 0) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.91% ( -0) | 33.08% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.32% ( -0) | 69.68% |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.62% ( -0) | 17.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.21% ( -0) | 47.79% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 3.52% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.39% Total : 23.98% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.8% 1-3 @ 5.68% 0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.49% 0-4 @ 2.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.78% Total : 52.44% |
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