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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
58.64% ( 0.47) | 22.44% ( -0.16) | 18.92% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.14% ( 0.24) | 46.85% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.89% ( 0.22) | 69.11% ( -0.23) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% ( 0.23) | 15.65% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.33% ( 0.44) | 44.67% ( -0.45) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.28% ( -0.2) | 38.71% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.55% ( -0.19) | 75.45% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.63% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.92% |
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