SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 5.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.89%) and 3-0 (12.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Nigeria | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
79.12% ( 0.06) | 15.12% ( 0.03) | 5.76% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 32.44% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( -0.53) | 48.66% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( -0.48) | 70.77% ( 0.48) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.77% ( -0.12) | 10.22% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.46% ( -0.27) | 33.54% ( 0.27) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.14% ( -0.64) | 63.86% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.5% ( -0.29) | 92.5% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nigeria | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
| 2-0 @ 16.97% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 14.89% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 79.11% | 1-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.21% Total : 15.12% | 0-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.33% Total : 5.76% |
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