Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 70.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 10.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.61%) and 0-3 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.

Result
Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Spartak Moscow
10.8% ( 0.2)	18.48% ( 0.12)	70.71% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 44.11% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.74% (

0.03)

46.25% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.45% (

0.03)

68.54% (

-0.03)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.02% (

0.4)

49.97% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.36% (

0.28)

84.64% (

-0.28)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.18% (

-0.08)

11.82% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.94% (

-0.17)

37.06% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod 10.8%

Spartak Moscow 70.7%

Draw 18.48%

Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 10.8%	1-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.59% Total : 18.48%	0-2 @ 13.46% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 9.59% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 5.12% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 70.7%