SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Exeter City |
25.33% ( -1.3) | 24.65% ( -0.55) | 50.02% ( 1.85) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.02% ( 1.32) | 48.98% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% ( 1.18) | 71.06% ( -1.18) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% ( -0.35) | 33.75% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.58% ( -0.39) | 70.41% ( 0.39) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( 1.3) | 19.6% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.46% ( 2.08) | 51.54% ( -2.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.02% |
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