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League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
MT

Northampton
0 - 2
Mansfield

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Evans (47'), Lewis (89')
Evans (51'), Cargill (58'), Boateng (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-2 Mansfield Town

Each of Mansfield's last ten league matches have seen both teams find the net and a total of 35 goals scored, so another end-to-end contest could be on the cards this weekend. Mansfield will be regarded as slight favourites for this match despite their poor away run, but we can see Northampton following up their impressive win at Huddersfield with another positive result on home soil, claiming at least a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
22.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 54.31% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.31% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)47.18% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.034000000000002 0.03)69.41% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.039999999999992 0.04)35.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)72.32% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)47.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 22.19%
    Mansfield Town 54.3%
    Draw 23.5%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 22.19%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 9.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 54.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-3 Northampton
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Bradford
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 4-1 Mansfield
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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