Portsmouth will be looking to claim all three points to help in their promotion fight, but we think that they may be held to a draw by Saturday's hosts, who are unbeaten in four home league games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.16) 
