SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
45.57% ( 1.06) | 25.22% ( 0.2) | 29.21% ( -1.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% ( -1.48) | 48.82% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% ( -1.36) | 70.92% ( 1.36) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( -0.14) | 21.43% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.56% ( -0.22) | 54.45% ( 0.22) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( -1.63) | 30.67% ( 1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% ( -1.97) | 66.91% ( 1.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.21% |
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