SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Arsenal |
17.32% ( 0) | 21.54% ( 0.06) | 61.14% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( -0.26) | 45.52% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( -0.25) | 67.85% ( 0.26) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.23% ( -0.16) | 39.77% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.56% ( -0.15) | 76.44% ( 0.15) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.61% ( -0.1) | 14.39% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.71% ( -0.2) | 42.29% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.32% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.54% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.75% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.95% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.41% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 61.13% |
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