SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
48.29% ( 0.5) | 23.52% ( -0.1) | 28.19% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 59.52% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.14% ( 0.22) | 41.86% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.74% ( 0.23) | 64.26% ( -0.22) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( 0.28) | 17.53% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.95% ( 0.48) | 48.05% ( -0.48) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% ( -0.16) | 27.82% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( -0.2) | 63.42% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.86% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.19% |
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