SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
39.95% ( 0.07) | 24.54% ( -0.02) | 35.5% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.34% ( 0.07) | 43.66% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.95% ( 0.07) | 66.05% ( -0.07) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( 0.07) | 21.86% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.9% ( 0.1) | 55.1% ( -0.1) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0) | 24.17% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.51% ( 0) | 58.49% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.95% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.5% |
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