SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
39.88% ( 0.35) | 24.92% ( -0.11) | 35.2% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 57.86% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( 0.46) | 45.45% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( 0.43) | 67.78% ( -0.43) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( 0.38) | 22.68% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.67% ( 0.55) | 56.33% ( -0.54) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( 0.08) | 25.17% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( 0.11) | 59.89% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.88% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.2% |
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