Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Orenburg	Draw	Spartak Moscow
29.19%	24.57%	46.23% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.6% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.98% (

-0)

46.02% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.68% (

-0)

68.32% (

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75% (

-0)

29.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79% (

-0)

65.2%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80% (

-0)

19.99% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.82% (

-0)

52.18% (

Score Analysis

Orenburg 29.19%

Spartak Moscow 46.23%

Draw 24.57%

Orenburg	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 4.42% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.39% Total : 29.19%	1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-2 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 5% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.23%