SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | DC United |
55.08% ( -0.16) | 23.5% ( -0.05) | 21.41% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.91% ( 0.42) | 48.09% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( 0.38) | 70.25% ( -0.39) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.68% ( 0.09) | 17.32% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.31% ( 0.17) | 47.68% ( -0.17) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.17% ( 0.44) | 36.82% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.38% ( 0.44) | 73.61% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.72% Total : 55.08% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.41% |
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