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NY
Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
OC

NY City
4 - 2
Orlando City

Rodriguez (15'), Wolf (45+4'), Ojeda (45+12'), Bakrar (90+4')
Martins (78'), Freese (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Dan Thor­halls­son (72'), McGuire (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-0 NY City
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Orlando City

Moralez may soon be ready to play a full game, and his presence could make a massive difference for the Boys in Blue on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
51.01% (-0.138 -0.14) 22.94% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.06% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 59.68% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.18% (0.094999999999999 0.09)40.82% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79% (0.097999999999999 0.1)63.2% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)16.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.43% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)45.57% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.152 0.15)28.83% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.189 0.19)64.69% (-0.191 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 51.01%
    Orlando City 26.06%
    Draw 22.93%
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 51.01%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 26.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nashville 1-0 NY City
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 NY City
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-3 Columbus Crew
Saturday, June 15 at 1.40am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 5-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Orlando City
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 Orlando City
Sunday, June 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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