National League | Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Court Place Farm
William-Bushell (61')
Fleet (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and York City.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result |
| Oxford City | Draw | York City |
31.52% ( -0.02) | 25.2% ( -0.01) | 43.28% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.01) |
| 52.32% ( 0.02) | 47.68% ( -0.02) |
| 30.12% ( 0.02) | 69.88% ( -0.02) |
| 71.5% ( -0) | 28.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.73% ( -0) | 64.28% ( 0.01) |
| 78% ( 0.02) | 22% ( -0.02) |
