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OU
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
SL

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Stoke

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tchamadeu (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Preston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 2-2 Stoke City

Oxford will head into this contest with every expectation that they will make it three successive wins at the Kassam Stadium. However, we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils in what we anticipate being an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawStoke City
30.88% (-0.202 -0.2) 25.06% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 44.06% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (0.102 0.1)47.32% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (0.094999999999999 0.09)69.55% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)28.75% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.102 -0.1)64.58% (0.101 0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (0.15400000000001 0.15)21.49% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (0.238 0.24)54.54% (-0.239 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 30.88%
    Stoke City 44.06%
    Draw 25.06%
Oxford UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Preston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Oxford Utd
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-5 Stoke
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.15pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 West Brom
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Stoke
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship


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