Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Monterrey
36.6% ( 0.67)	25.44% ( 0.2)	37.96% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 56.16% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.29% (

-0.85)

47.7% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.1% (

-0.79)

69.9% (

0.79)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

-0.02)

25.43% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

-0.02)

60.25% (

0.02)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32% (

-0.84)

24.68% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.78% (

-1.2)

59.21% (

1.2)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 36.6%

Monterrey 37.96%

Draw 25.44%

Pachuca	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.6%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.96%