Palestine might not have picked up a win in the Asian Cup, but their performances showcased a lot of quality and their defensive abilities could be a key factor here.
Considering the poor start that the visitors have made to this group stage, it is the Lions of Canaan who will be considered the favourites.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestine win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestine win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palestine would win this match.
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