SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestine win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestine win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palestine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palestine | Draw | Bangladesh |
54.29% ( 0.01) | 25.3% ( 0) | 20.4% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.83% ( -0.02) | 56.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% ( -0.02) | 77.22% ( 0.01) |
| Palestine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( -0.01) | 20.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.69% ( -0.01) | 53.31% ( 0.01) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.52% ( -0.02) | 42.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.15% ( -0.02) | 78.85% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palestine | Draw | Bangladesh |
| 1-0 @ 13.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 54.28% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4% ( -0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.4% |
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