Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio El Teniente
FT(HT: 0-0)
Flores (29'), Gomez (61'),
Paredes (75'),
Canelon (87'), Matos (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Palestino and Estudiantes Merida.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palestino in this match.
| Result |
| Palestino | Draw | Estudiantes Merida |
51.63% ( -0.01) | 23.8% ( 0.01) | 24.57% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.05) |
| 53.95% ( -0.07) | 46.05% ( 0.07) |
| 31.65% ( -0.07) | 68.35% ( 0.06) |
| 82.15% ( -0.03) | 17.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.4% ( -0.05) | 48.6% ( 0.05) |
| 67.18% ( -0.04) | 32.81% ( 0.04) |
