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Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
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PAOK
2 - 2
Aberdeen

Taison (23'), Samatta (67')
Vieirinha (34'), Tsiggaras (45'), Koulierakis (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lopes (14'), McGrath (70')
Robson (49'), Hayes (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olympiacos 2-4 PAOK
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Hibernian 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, November 4 at 5.15pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: PAOK 2-1 Aberdeen

Both of Aberdeen's defeats in this competition have come by a solitary goal, and we can envisage that trend continuing in Greece on Thursday. PAOK will be determined to finish top of Group B having made a perfect start from their opening three matches, and they should have a little too much quality for their opponents, especially with home advantage on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawAberdeen
65.81% (0.063999999999993 0.06) 19.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 14.3% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.04% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02% (0.022999999999996 0.02)43.98% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64% (0.022999999999996 0.02)66.36% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (0.022999999999996 0.02)12.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.47% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.53% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.21% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)42.79% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.88% (-0.035 -0.04)79.11% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 65.81%
    Aberdeen 14.3%
    Draw 19.88%
PAOKDrawAberdeen
2-0 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 8.01% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 4.16% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.73% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 65.81%
1-1 @ 9.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 19.88%
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 14.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-4 PAOK
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-0 PAOK
Monday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 PAOK
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Atromitos
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-2 PAOK
Sunday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Hibernian 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, November 4 at 5.15pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Motherwell 2-4 Aberdeen
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, October 29 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 PAOK
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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