SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Parma had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Fiorentina |
27.69% ( -1.62) | 23.76% ( -0.06) | 48.55% ( 1.69) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.66% ( -0.76) | 43.34% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.26% ( -0.75) | 65.74% ( 0.75) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( -1.52) | 28.95% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% ( -1.93) | 64.84% ( 1.93) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( 0.37) | 18% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.14% ( 0.63) | 48.86% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.69% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.43)1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 48.55% |
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