Patronato
1 - 0
Sarmiento

Garay (71')
Nievas (26'), Garcia (65'), Urribarri (82'), Arias (86'), Guasone (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Salvareschi (68')
Salvareschi (90+4')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Patronato and Sarmiento.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Patronato in this match.

Result
Patronato	Draw	Sarmiento
50.81%	25.94%	23.25%

Both teams to score 47.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.24%

55.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.11%

76.89%

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78%

22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69%

55.31%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.65%

39.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.94%

76.06%

Score Analysis

Patronato 50.81%

Sarmiento 23.25%

Draw 25.93%

Patronato	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 13.11% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.77% Other @ 3% Total : 50.81%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.08% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.25%